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 formulaic alpha


$\text{Alpha}^2$: Discovering Logical Formulaic Alphas using Deep Reinforcement Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Alphas are pivotal in providing signals for quantitative trading. The industry highly values the discovery of formulaic alphas for their interpretability and ease of analysis, compared with the expressive yet overfitting-prone black-box alphas. In this work, we focus on discovering formulaic alphas. Prior studies on automatically generating a collection of formulaic alphas were mostly based on genetic programming (GP), which is known to suffer from the problems of being sensitive to the initial population, converting to local optima, and slow computation speed. Recent efforts employing deep reinforcement learning (DRL) for alpha discovery have not fully addressed key practical considerations such as alpha correlations and validity, which are crucial for their effectiveness. In this work, we propose a novel framework for alpha discovery using DRL by formulating the alpha discovery process as program construction. Our agent, $\text{Alpha}^2$, assembles an alpha program optimized for an evaluation metric. A search algorithm guided by DRL navigates through the search space based on value estimates for potential alpha outcomes. The evaluation metric encourages both the performance and the diversity of alphas for a better final trading strategy. Our formulation of searching alphas also brings the advantage of pre-calculation dimensional analysis, ensuring the logical soundness of alphas, and pruning the vast search space to a large extent. Empirical experiments on real-world stock markets demonstrates $\text{Alpha}^2$'s capability to identify a diverse set of logical and effective alphas, which significantly improves the performance of the final trading strategy. The code of our method is available at https://github.com/x35f/alpha2.


AlphaEvolve: A Learning Framework to Discover Novel Alphas in Quantitative Investment

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Alphas are stock prediction models capturing trading signals in a stock market. A set of effective alphas can generate weakly correlated high returns to diversify the risk. Existing alphas can be categorized into two classes: Formulaic alphas are simple algebraic expressions of scalar features, and thus can generalize well and be mined into a weakly correlated set. Machine learning alphas are data-driven models over vector and matrix features. They are more predictive than formulaic alphas, but are too complex to mine into a weakly correlated set. In this paper, we introduce a new class of alphas to model scalar, vector, and matrix features which possess the strengths of these two existing classes. The new alphas predict returns with high accuracy and can be mined into a weakly correlated set. In addition, we propose a novel alpha mining framework based on AutoML, called AlphaEvolve, to generate the new alphas. To this end, we first propose operators for generating the new alphas and selectively injecting relational domain knowledge to model the relations between stocks. We then accelerate the alpha mining by proposing a pruning technique for redundant alphas. Experiments show that AlphaEvolve can evolve initial alphas into the new alphas with high returns and weak correlations.